Heads I Win, Tails You Lose
A caller this morning, who identified himself as a Republican, was presenting what he saw as the most likely scenarios for how things will shake out in Iraq once the U.S. leaves. His guess was either civil war eventually resulting in an Iraq divided three ways (Kurdish, Sunni, Shiite), or another Iran.
Kuby (who has opposed the war since its start and consistently stated that we need to bring the troops home now) opined that if we leave now, there will most likely be civil war and many Iraqis will die, but no further US soldiers will die. However, if we stay another x years, and *then* leave, there will most likely be civil war and many Iraqis will die, and quite a few more US soldiers will perish than already have.
Does anyone see Iraq truly developing into a peaceful place without US forces to keep the mayhem somewhat in check?
*Note*: This post should not be construed to mean that I am in favor of keeping US forces there indefinitely. Anyone who has read posts here will know that I believe we should never have invaded in the first place.